8 min read | by Rich McCormick and Elijah Crago | Investor pessimism on the ground in Brazil has reached an extreme relative to the past decade – but where negative sentiment exists, there may also be value. The return to power of a leftist president, anti-business rhetoric, and interest rates back at decade highs have turned many investors away altogether – resulting in some of the lowest valuations in the world. Upon returning from a recent two-week trip to Brazil, we are excited by the investment opportunities emerging in the country.
5 min read | The application of technology in agriculture has the potential to transform farmers’ operations and generate tremendous growth opportunities for the companies driving innovation [click here to read more]. When you speak with farmers, you frequently hear “yield is everything.” This certainly rang true over the three days that Geoff MacPhail spent in Boone, Iowa at the Farm Progress Show last year.
2 min read | by Glenn Cunningham | I recently attended the Industrial Manufacturing Technology Show (IMTS) in Chicago to gain further insight into the technology and industrial industry ecosystems. Discussions at the show reinforced a number of key themes that we have independently identified through our bottom-up research. Broadly speaking, these include the need for more automation due to skilled labor shortages, the costs and benefits of supply chain fragmentation, and the growing integration of technology across the industrial landscape.
8 min read | by Rich McCormick | I spent two weeks in June traveling throughout Europe, engaging with a range of old and new contacts – political leaders, regulators, and management teams from over 40 companies in the insurance, banking, fintech, and industrial sectors. Throughout the trip and upon my return, I kept this journal of the most significant takeaways and implications for our portfolio positioning – some reinforcements to previously-held beliefs and a few surprises.
7 min read | We continue to view the ASEAN region as one of the best sources of investment opportunity in emerging markets, presenting a unique combination of attractive valuations, recovery potential, and sustainable long-term growth. Within the region, and considering both short- and long-term potential, we believe Vietnam is one of the most promising investment plays, unfolding in five acts. Alice Popescu, Portfolio Manager, has written a synopsis of the play, building a case for investors to embrace the opportunity in Vietnam.
5 min read | by Alice Popescu | I recently returned from my first post-pandemic due diligence trip to Mexico. While virtual meeting platforms proved to be a blessing during travel lockdowns, nothing compares to the insights gained and relationships that can be developed during a quality research trip. Travelling across three major economic zones and two time zones, I visited with 15 companies, public and private, as well as a vast array of policymakers and political observers. Broadly speaking, the infrastructure improvements, economic environment, services industry recovery, and opportunities linked to an overarching trend of “nearshoring” were impressive.
1 min read | Stock-based compensation (SBC) in the technology sector has proliferated in recent years, driven by the war for talent and a period marked by low cost of capital, plentiful access to capital, and rising valuations. The challenge comes when decade-long market tailwinds begin to change direction. The virtuous cycle of aggressive stock issuance to employees, elevated ‘adjusted’ earnings, rising stock prices, and strong employee engagement can become vicious when it unwinds.
2 min read | In thisarticle [click to read], we present a series of three snail charts that illustrate the evolution of corporate earnings growth estimates from 2016 through the 2023 forecast season in the US, Europe, and Japan - and discuss why we believe the data represents dangerous trend extrapolation. We expect the outlook for many companies’ earnings to come under pressure as the year progresses owing to slowing revenue growth, increasing cost pressures, and lofty embedded expectations.
4 min read |This morning the FT published an article [click to read] regarding the broadening out of market leadership and the protection that value stocks have provided for investors during the tumultuous start to 2022. These topics resonate here at Altrinsic and have been key themes in our market commentaries over the past several years. Beyond the narrative, the FT's simple charts also tell a compelling story.